innosferaНаука и инновацииScience and Innovations1818-98572412-9372Издательский дом «Белорусская наука»10.29235/1818-9857-2021-10-77-83innosfera-337Research ArticleДИССЕРТАЦИОННЫЕ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЯDISSERTATION RESEARCHПрогнозирование спонтанного разрешения первичного пузырно-мочеточникового рефлюкса у детейPrediction of spontaneous resolution of primary vesicoureteral reflux in childrenДубровВ.DubrovV.

завотделением урологии кандидат медицинских наук

dubroff2000@mail.ruСтроцкийА.StrotskyA.

завкафедрой урологии, доктор медицинских наук, профессор

astrotsky@mail.ruПавловичТ.PavlovichT.

завкафедрой общественного здоровья и здравоохранения

ozz@bsmu.byСукалоА.SukaloA.

заведующий 1‑й кафедрой детских болезней, академик НАН Беларуси

childill1@bsmu.by2‑я городская детская клиническая больница г. МинскаBelarusБелорусский государственный медицинский университетBelarus2021250120230107783Copyright © Издательский дом «Белорусская наука», 20232023Издательский дом «Белорусская наука»Издательский дом «Белорусская наука»https://innosfera.belnauka.by/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://innosfera.belnauka.by/jour/article/view/337

Представлены результаты ретроспективного исследования с использованием данных 871 пациента в возрасте от 6 дней до 15 лет, которые получали консервативную терапию по поводу первичного пузырно-мочеточникового рефлюкса (ПМР). Проведена оценка факторов, влияющих на вероятность спонтанного разрешения ПМР и разработана прогностическая модель развития такого сценария, обладающая высокой надежностью. Ее применение в практике поможет принятию оптимальной стратегии лечения детей с ПМР

he retrospective study is based on a database of 871 patients who received conservative therapy for primary VUR. A one-way survival analysis was used to assess the factors influencing the likelihood of spontaneous resolution of VUR. Cox regression was performed for multivariate analysis. The construction of the predictive model was carried out using binary logistic regression. The developed prognostic model is highly reliable, its application can facilitate the adoption of an optimal treatment strategy

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.